Today’s Montana Chamber of Commerce/Market Research Insight certainly contains some numbers that can’t make the Rehberg team feel very confident.
In a poll that consisted of 49% Republican voters and 32% Democratic voters, Senator Tester is leading Representative Rehberg 42-37.
A five point gap is well just outside the poll’s margin of error, but given the demographics, the numbers represent a real potential challenge for the subdivision rancher from Billings.
Perhaps spending the first year of a Senate campaign suing the largest state, alienating your base with federal land grabs, and writing legislation that would lead to poisoned children’s toys isn’t a good idea after all.
Article by Don Pogreba
Don is an English/Debate teacher and debate handbook author who lives in Helena, MT, and who can't imagine living anywhere other than this glorious state. Much of his writing happens late at night and he is unlikely to respond to your comments during the day.
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I watch no media of any type at all, but a buddy that does says that already Dopey and his Big Kockh benefactors are hammerin’ Tester 24/7. I’m thinkin’ that that might have a negative effect. Hard to say, but I seriously believe that there is a tipping point to such crap, and that Dopey has passed it. Now, all the negative ads will have just the opposite effect as the one intended. Dopey Reeburp has worn out his welcome, and his negative ads are futile at this point. I think the polls reflect this. Time for Dopey to find Jaysus! Maybe there’s another one out there in the woods somewhere. Hell, even findidng a Jesus a WEEK ain’t gonna help that dumb sumbitch now! He’s toast.
Don, you failed to mention the Dem poll: http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/196693-poll-rehberg-maintains-narrow-lead-over-tester-in-montana
Intrade has Denny 59 to Testers 45.
http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/?eventClassId=19
You all want to hear this! I went to DC last week and I and my 8 other friends found out that Rehberg doesn’t plan on dumping that border bill! He told us in about a half an hour interview that he thinks we still need this bill!
His reasons are as follows:
1. I asked him if he could site the last time we had a gun Runner caught smuggling guns into the border? He told me that I didn’t know it but smuggling guns and an Illegal sex slave business was thriving in and around Glacier Park! That there were tons of reports on this very thing!
2. Even though I used to work for the BLM and I was the first person in the nation to write the fire fighting agreement for the BLM and Forest Service 30 years ago…. that their were no convenance acts between the agencies, even though I knew they have been in place for criminals and other such matters, for about the same amount of time as the my fire act was! And that the borders between us and Canada are not to be trusted!
3. That Canada is a hotbed for terrorist activities were arab badmen could come poring through the border at any second, and giving the top hundred miles to Home security, would only further jobs in the state by companies that didn’t need to follow those pesky EPA rules any longer!
The man also tried to tell us he never utter that Pell grants were welfare for students, and that he wrote a Jobs bill recently…. but he couldn’t remember the particulars of the bill and neither could his Communications director… but he knew it would bring Montana out of the Hole!
The man is a complete nut, and truth couldn’t be found passing his lips that day! Any one who allows this man to become one of this states next senators is a nut case themselves and no friend of MONTANA
ILIKEWOODS, would you allow me or others to re-blog your comment?
I would be Honored sir!
Craig Moore & Ingemar Johannson,
The Polls you keep citing are old polls! if you want to see were the money is going all you need to do is look at Open secrets. org
70% of Testers money is coming from likely voters, with only 30% from PACS
http://www.diigo.com/item/bookmark/ilikewoods/http%3A%2F%2Fwww.opensecrets.org%2Fpoliticians%2Fsummary.php%3Fcid%3DN00027605%26cycle%3D2012#image_19121836
Only 58% of Rebergs money is coming from his likely voters the other 42 percent is coming from PACS!
http://www.diigo.com/item/bookmark/ilikewoods/http%3A%2F%2Fwww.opensecrets.org%2Fpoliticians%2Fsummary.php%3Fcid%3DN00004645%26cycle%3D2012#image_19121899
If this was a horse race Tester is the 6 to 5 favorite on money alone
PACS do not vote GOP! People do, and most people put their money where their mouth is so…. Rehberg is the likely loser of this event!
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