PPP just published a Montana poll which shows Steve Bullock and Rick Hill tied in a November matchup at 39-39. Despite the tie, Bullock is both better liked and known that Representative Hill:
Bullock is more popular than Hill. 34% of voters have a positive opinion of him to 21% with a negative one. Hill’s under water with 20% of voters rating him favorably to 28% with an unfavorable view. Usually that kind of disparity in favorability numbers would have Bullock ahead overall but of course Montana’s a Republican state and Hill’s taking the GOP vote 77-8, allowing him to achieve the tie.
The other Republican candidates simply haven’t gained any traction in the race, no matter how well they do in TEA Party straw polls. Hill leads the field with 33%. Ken Miller checks in at 12%, with Corey Stapleton coming in at 7%.
The race is really in the same position it has been for months. While 35% of likely Republican primary voters are undecided, it’s almost unimaginable that all will throw their support behind one of Hill’s challengers.
With six minor candidates to divide up the nullification wing of the Republican Party, Hill should coast to victory in June.
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