Tim Fox

My apologies for not getting the Attorney General and Governor posts up last week. Real life intruded—and hell, there are something like 45 people running on the Republican side for governor. Give a person a break!

The contest to replace Steve Bullock promises to be the most interesting race for statewide office, given the absence of an incumbent and an already hot race between a few of those fighting for the spot. While we’ll certainly take a closer look at the Democratic candidates in a later post, today we’ll focus on the leading Republican candidates, neither of whom seem remotely ready to step into Steve Bullock’s shoes.

Tim Fox

My concerns about Tim Fox as Attorney General really come down to two issues: his lack of experience and his temperament.

Fox simply lacks the necessary experience for the job. As he told Missoula’s KMPT radio, the Attorney General’s job is “certainly not a place to be trying to do a little on the job training.”

His employment record is, at best, unimpressive, and at worst, leaves some serious questions about his inability to stay in any position for very long.

His issues page demonstrates his disregard for protecting Montana’s laws. While no one is interested in restricting gun rights in Montana, there are forces who want to undermine our democracy—and it’s clear Fox is on their side, no doubt supporting Citizens United in their effort to turn corporations into people.

As for temperament, I’ll stick with what I wrote in 2008: “Fox has no business serving as the next Attorney General of Montana. He has run a mean-spirited, intellectually dishonest campaign that disqualifies him from serious consideration as Montana’s top law enforcement officer.

Since that bid, he’s demonstrated an incredible lack of judgment, posting an image suggesting that the logo of the Democratic Party was a shooting target, shortly after Gabby Giffords was shot in Arizona, show his willingness to carry water for the Koch Brothers, and continuing his dishonest rhetoric from the 2008 campaign. He couldn’t even hide his infantile behavior at his campaign announcement, tearing down a Laslovich sign at the Capitol.

If Mr. Fox were running for the executive director of the Republican Party, he’d be eminently qualified. As Attorney General, he’d be anything but.

Jim Shockley

Senator Jim Shockley seems to be having a lot of trouble getting his campaign off the ground, relying on loans to himself to campaign. His endorsements page is indicative of what seems to be a central problem of his campaign, an almost total absence of support from current Republican officials. There are enough “former” endorsers on that list to make it seem likely that Shockley will be a “former” candidate. It seems like Facebook might not be working out for him, either.

Shockley’s taken a few very problematic positions for an Attorney General candidate. He seems bent on ignoring the will of Montanans who supported the right to medical marijuana and the overwhelming evidence that Montanans don’t want the government making end of life decisions for them. Along the way, he profoundly disappointed supporters.

As for Mr. Shockley’s most famous moment in the 2011 session, I’ll leave the comment about getting caught illegally driving with an open container to him: “It’s certainly not a plus.”

In the end, expect Tim Fox to win this primary. He simply has the more energetic campaign, better name recognition, and the willingness to say almost anything to get elected. Whether it’s Pam Bucy or Jesse Laslovich, the Democratic candidate had better be ready for one negative campaign this fall.

Today was a busy today in Montana politics, with both filing deadlines and the latest deadline for reporting campaign finance. As always, while there are certainly more important issues than how candidates raise and spend money, the numbers do provide a sense of where each campaign is—and how effective it will be going forward.

Governor
Candidate Raised Cash on Hand
Steve Bullock $100,853 $439,721
Rick Hill $70,385 $294,750
Ken Miller $64,108 $71, 360
Corey Stapleton $44,439 $149,019
Neil Livingstone $41,560 $17,585
Jim O’Hara $6,150 $1,767
Jim Lynch $4,835 $17,541

It’s got to be of some concern to Republicans that Rick Hill—whose only real advantage as a candidate is a presumed ability to raise money—is lagging so far behind Bullock.

Corey Stapleton’s reports continue to be mysteries—he’s no longer logging any real campaign expenses and continues to lend himself money in what is increasingly a quixotic bid to take 3rd place.

Jim Lynch’s campaign continues to be on life support, and Neil Livingstone continues to lend his campaign massive amounts to money (up to $60,000 now) for no discernible purpose other than enriching D.C.-based political consultants.

It seems that only Ken Miller is able to raise money from actual contributors. He poses the only real threat to Hill in this race, but with a fractured anti-Hill field, Miller seems unlikely to get enough support to win the race.

ATTORNEY GENERAL
Candidate Raised Cash on Hand
Jesse Laslovich $23,238 $82,890
Pam Bucy $22,994 $87,413
Tim Fox $42,513 $38,533
Jim Shockley $50,0366 $52,306

 

The Democratic race for Attorney General continues to be the most closely contested battle, both in terms of passion and fundraising. Once again, Jesse Laslovich slightly outraised his opponent—and has not had to loan his campaign any money, unlike Bucy, who has donated $10,000 to her campaign. Look for this race to stay tight right up until the primary.

On the Republican side, it only looks close because Senator Shockley has donated a massive amount of money to his campaign. It seems the Republican establishment has chosen to back Fox, presumably for his willingness to embrace odious strategies to seek election.

Tim Fox, today in a hard-hitting interview with a conservative radio show in Missoula said this of the Attorney General’s position:

“It’s certainly not a place to be trying to do a little on the job training.”

I couldn’t agree more and that’s why one of the Democratic candidates would make an excellent choice.

Consider Jesse Laslovich:

In 2007, then-Attorney General Mike McGrath appointed Jesse as an Assistant Attorney General, where he defended criminal convictions before the Montana Supreme Court and was the lead attorney for the office of Consumer Protection. In 2009, Montana’s Commissioner of Securities and Insurance, Monica J. Lindeen, appointed Jesse as a Special Assistant Attorney General to prosecute securities fraud and insurance fraud. In early 2010, Jesse became Chief Legal Counsel for the Securities and Insurance Departments. That same year, United States Attorney Mike Cotter appointed Jesse as a Special Assistant United States Attorney to prosecute white collar crimes in federal court.

Consider Pam Bucy:

During her seven years as Executive Assistant Attorney General under former AG and current Supreme Court Chief Justice Mike McGrath, Pam represented the State of Montana in complex civil and criminal matters before the Montana Supreme Court.  She also spearheaded the Department of Justice’s efforts to pass legislation to register sexual and violent offenders, help senior citizens protect their identity and credit information and ensure protective orders, such as restraining orders, can be more easily enforced.

While Mr. Fox has certainly enjoyed a lot of short term employment, he’d be hard-pressed to make the case that he has more experience than either of these two qualified candidates.

Tim Fox Rewinds His Campaign to 2008

by Don Pogreba on February 6, 2012 · 2 comments

in 2012 Statewide, Tim Fox

Well, Tim Fox finally announced his bid for Attorney General today—just a week after you read it here first.  At first blush, it appears he’s running the same playbook as 2008, focusing on gun rights that no one is challenging, sex offenders that no one is defending, and federal policies the AG isn’t influencing.

Now some would suggest that Mr. Fox is running for Attorney General in order to hold down a job for at least four years. Others might suggest that he’s interested in finally developing a position on the minimum wage. Others might cynically suggest that he’s running because he hasn’t changed any of his dishonest campaign material from 2008 and thought that he might as well use it.

Each of those observations probably has some degree of truth, but in the end, the most likely answer is that the Koch Brothers needed another candidate to carry their agenda to state governments and Mr. Fox has ample time to make that happen.

The Democratic nominee for Attorney General needs to be ready for a well-funded and dirty campaign if Mr. Fox can defeat Jim Shockley’s apparently self-funded campaign for the Republican nomination.

In 2008, Fox ran one of the most dishonest statewide campaigns I can remember, prompting a TV station to pull one of his ads and me to write that Fox “has no business serving as the next Attorney General of Montana. He has run a mean-spirited, intellectually dishonest campaign that disqualifies him from serious consideration as Montana’s top law enforcement officer. Fox has proven that he lacks both the leadership and judgment to hold this critical office.”

If today’s announcement is indication, Mr. Fox seems like he fears Democratic candidate Jesse Laslovich, as Mr. Fox was seen peevishly tearing down and attempting to throw away a Laslovich sign at the Capitol.